Thursday, January 26, 2006

UPDATED: Blunt, Boehner, Shadegg Voter Tally

BLUNT (91)- Todd Akin (MO), Rodney Alexander (LA), Richard Baker (LA), Joe Barton (TX), Michael Bilirakis (FL), Marsha Blackburn(TN), Roy Blunt (MO),Henry Bonilla (TX), Jo Bonner (AL), John Boozman (AR), Jeb Bradley (NH), Kevin Brady (TX), Ginny Brown-Waite (FL), Michael Burgess (TX), Dan Burton (IN), Dave Camp (MI), Shelley Moore Capito (WV), John Carter (TX), Tom Cole (OK), Mike Conaway (TX), Ander Crenshaw (FL), John Culberson (TX), Geoff Davis (KY), Jo Ann Davis (VA), Tom Davis (VA), Nathan Deal (GA), Charlie Dent (PA), Lincoln Diaz-Balart (FL), Mario Diaz-Balart (FL), John Doolittle (CA), John Duncan (TN), Jo Ann Emerson (MO), Terry Everett (AL), Mike Ferguson (NJ), Mike Fitzpatrick (PA), Mark Foley (FL), Luis Fortuno (PR), Rodney Frelinghuysen (NJ), Louie Gohmhert (TX), Bob Goodlatte (VA), Sam Graves (MO), Kay Granger (TX), Ralph Hall (TX), Katherine Harris (FL), Robin Hayes (NC), Kenny Hulshof (MO), Duncan Hunter (CA), Darrell Issa (CA), Bobby Jindal (LA), Nancy Johnson (CT), Sue Kelly (NY), Jack Kingston (GA), Mark Kirk (IL), Randy Kuhl (NY), Jim Leach (IA), Frank LoBiondo (NJ), Michael McCaul (TX), Patrick McHenry (NC), John Mica (FL), Candice Miller (MI), Tim Murphy (PA), Sue Myrick (NC), Randy Neugebauer (TX), Charlie Norwood (GA), John Peterson (PA), Tom Petri (WI), Joe Pitts (PA), Ted Poe (TX), Adam Putnam (FL), Dave Reichert (WA), Rick Renzi (AZ), Mike Rogers (AL), Illeana Ros-Lehtinen (FL), Joe Schwarz (MI), Clay Shaw (FL), Chris Shays (CT), Don Sherwood (PA), Bill Shuster (PA), Chris Smith (NJ), Lamar Smith (TX), John Sullivan (OK), Tom Tancredo (CO), Charlie Taylor (NC), Fred Upton (MI), Greg Walden (OR), Jim Walsh (NY), Curt Weldon (PA), Jerry Weller (IL), Lynn Westmoreland (GA),Roger Wicker (MS), Joe Wilson (SC)

BOEHNER (50)-Gresham Barrett (SC), Charles Boustany (LA), Judy Biggert (IL), John Boehner (OH), Steve Buyer (IN), Ken Calvert (CA), Chris Cannon (UT), Mike Castle (DE), Steve Chabot (OH), Chris Chocola (IN), Howard Coble (NC), Vern Ehlers (MI), Virginia Foxx (NC), Wayne Gilchrest (MD), Paul Gillmor (OH), Melissa Hart (PA), Doc Hastings (WA), Dave Hobson (OH), Bob Inglis (SC), Bill Jenkins (TN), Sam Johnson (TX), John Kline (MN), Joe Knollenberg (MI), Ray LaHood (IL), Tom Latham (IA), Steve LaTourette (OH), Donald Manzullo (IL), Kenny Marchant (TX), Thad McCotter (MI), Howard McKeon (CA), Cathy McMorris (WA), Gary Miller (CA), Bob Ney (OH), Anne Northup (KY), Devin Nunes (CA), Mike Oxley (OH), Steve Pearce (NM), Todd Platts (PA), Richard Pombo (CA), John Porter (NV), Jim Ramstad (MN), Dennis Rehberg (MT), Jim Saxton (NJ), Jean Schmidt (OH), Pete Sessions (TX), Mike Simpson (ID), Lee Terry (NE) Pat Tiberi (OH), Mike Turner (OH), Ed Whitfield (KY)

SHADEGG (12)- Charles Bass (N.H.), Tom Feeney (FL), Jeff Flake (AZ), Trent Franks (AZ), Jeb Hensarling (TX), Peter Hoekstra (MI), Connie Mack (FL), Mike Pence (IN), Paul Ryan (WI), Jim Sensenbrenner (WI), John Shadegg (AZ), Frank Wolf (VA)

Friday, January 20, 2006

Funny Website...

Apparently a group Washington Redskins fans have created a website designed to keep ex-QB Heath Shuler from winning a seat in Congress as a D from North Carolina. My favorite quote:

If Shuler Tried to Pass a Bill, Would It Be Intercepted? America should be very concerned that Heath Shuler wants to run for Congress…I mean, look at all the damage he did his first time through Washington.

Boehner, Blunt, Shadegg Vote Update

Here are the best numbers we see for the leadership race. While Shadegg still has a small list (he isn't releasing names) he did get two big endorsements, from Mike Pence-Chairman of the Republican Study Committee and Jim Sensenbrenner-Chairman of the Judiciary Committee. It is difficult to say what sort of sway Pence's endorsement will have as around half ot the RSC has already publicly committed for either Blunt or Boehner. Sensenbrenner is obviously a well-respected member.

Boehner and Shadegg seem to be aligning themselves together. Speculation has centered around how much the two parties might be discussing scenarios. With some pressure mounting for full leadership elections-some pundits have speculated that there could be a move to create a Boehner/Shadegg leadership team. Others see Shadegg forcing a second ballot between Blunt and Boehner with his supporters then shifting to Boehner. As we said, this is all speculation.

BLUNT (84)- Todd Akin (MO), Rodney Alexander (LA), Richard Baker (LA), Joe Barton (TX), Marsha Blackburn(TN), Henry Bonilla (TX), Jo Bonner (AL), John Boozman (AR), Jeb Bradley (NH), Kevin Brady (TX), Ginny Brown-Waite (FL), Michael Burgess (TX), Dan Burton (IN), Dave Camp (MI), Shelley Moore Capito (WV), John Carter (TX), Tom Cole (OK), Mike Conaway (TX), Ander Crenshaw (FL), John Culberson (TX), Geoff Davis (KY), Jo Ann Davis (VA), Tom Davis (VA), Nathan Deal (GA), Charlie Dent (PA), Lincoln Diaz-Balart (FL), Mario Diaz-Balart (FL), John Doolittle (CA), John Duncan (TN), Jo Ann Emerson (MO), Terry Everett (AL), Mike Ferguson (NJ), Mike Fitzpatrick (PA), Mark Foley (FL), Luis Fortuno (PR), Rodney Frelinghuysen (NJ), Louie Gohmhert (TX), Bob Goodlatte (VA), Kay Granger (TX), Sam Graves (MO), Kay Granger (TX), Ralph Hall (TX), Katherine Harris (FL), Kenny Hulshof (MO), Duncan Hunter (CA), Darrell Issa (CA), Bobby Jindal (LA), Nancy Johnson (CT), Jack Kingston (GA), Mark Kirk (IL), Randy Kuhl (NY), Jim Leach (IA), Frank LoBiondo (NJ), Michael McCaul (TX), Patrick McHenry (NC), John Mica (FL), Candice Miller (MI), Sue Myrick (NC), Randy Neugebauer (TX), Charlie Norwood (GA), John Peterson (PA), Tom Petri (WI), Ted Poe (TX), Adam Putnam (FL), Dave Reichert (WA), Rick Renzi (AZ), Ros-Lehtinen (FL), Joe Schwarz (MI), Clay Shaw (FL), Chris Shays (CT), Don Sherwood (PA), Bill Shuster (PA), Chris Smith (NJ), Lamar Smith (TX), John Sullivan (OK), Tom Tancredo (CO), Charlie Taylor (NC), Fred Upton (MI), Greg Walden (OR), Jim Walsh (NY), Curt Weldon (PA), Roger Wicker (MS), Joe Wilson (SC), Jerry Weller (IL), Lynn Westmoreland (GA)

BOEHNER (47)-Gresham Barrett (SC), Charles Boustany (LA), Steve Buyer (IN), Judy Biggert (IL), Ken Calvert (CA), Chris Cannon (UT), Mike Castle (DE), Steve Chabot (OH), Chris Chocola (IN), Howard Coble (NC), Vern Ehlers (MI), Virginia Foxx (NC), Melissa Hart (PA), Wayne Gilchrest (MD), Paul Gillmor (OH), Doc Hastings (WA), Dave Hobson (OH), Bill Jenkins (TN), Sam Johnson (TX), John Kline (MN), Joe Knollenberg (MI), Ray LaHood (IL), Tom Latham (IA), Steve LaTourette (OH), Donald Manzullo (IL), Kenny Marchant (TX), Thad McCotter (MI), Howard McKeon (CA), Cathy McMorris (WA), Gary Miller (CA), Bob Ney (OH), Anne Northup (KY), Devin Nunes (CA), Mike Oxley (OH), Steve Pearce (NM), Todd Platts (PA), Richard Pombo (CA), John Porter (NV), Jim Ramstad (MN), Jim Saxton (NJ), Jean Schmidt (OH), Pete Sessions (TX), Mike Simpson (ID), Lee Terry (NE) Pat Tiberi (OH), Mike Turner (OH), Ed Whitfield (KY)

SHADEGG (4)- Tom Feeney (FL), Trent Franks (AZ), Jeb Hensarling (TX), Mike Pence (IN), Paul Ryan (WI), Jim Sensenbrenner (WI)

Thursday, January 19, 2006

Joint Statement from Boehner and Shadegg

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE FOR BOEHNER, CONTACT KEVIN SMITH
January 19, 2006 or DON SEYMOUR, 202-225-6205

FOR SHADEGG, CONTACT MICHAEL STEEL,
202-225-3361

Boehner, Shadegg: The American People
Deserve a Debate

WASHINGTON, D.C. - Reps. John Boehner (R-OH) and John Shadegg (R-AZ) today jointly called upon Acting Majority Leader/Majority Whip Roy Blunt (R-MO) to agree to make a media appearance with them to discuss the issues in the race for Majority Leader:

"It is our understanding Roy has now declined invitations from two nationally-televised Sunday morning news programs to appear with us and directly discuss the issues facing the future of our Republican majority.

"It's unfortunate that at a time when House Republicans are having a serious conversation about our future, the candidate who claims to be the frontrunner has so far refused to engage in a debate about how we will reform the House and change the status quo.

"Our Members, our party, and our country deserve to hear all of the candidates in an open and honest debate about their vision for leading the House and helping retain and expand our Republican majority."

###

Tuesday, January 17, 2006

Boehner/Blunt/Shadegg voter tally update.

Here is the Monday update of the voter tallies. No major changes in numbers, all three have gained (though Blunt is the only to loose a member due to the entry of Shadegg). Doc Hastings the Chair of the Ethics Committee did declare for Boehner which is a somewhat major move.

BLUNT (84)- Todd Akin (MO), Rodney Alexander (LA), Richard Baker (LA), Joe Barton (TX), Marsha Blackburn(TN), Henry Bonilla (TX), Jo Bonner (AL), John Boozman (AR), Jeb Bradley (NH), Kevin Brady (TX), Ginny Brown-Waite (FL), Michael Burgess (TX), Dan Burton (IN), Dave Camp (MI), Shelley Moore Capito (WV), John Carter (TX), Tom Cole (OK), Mike Conaway (TX), Ander Crenshaw (FL), John Culberson (TX), Geoff Davis (KY), Jo Ann Davis (VA), Tom Davis (VA), Nathan Deal (GA), Charlie Dent (PA), Lincoln Diaz-Balart (FL), Mario Diaz-Balart (FL), John Doolittle (CA), John Duncan (TN), Jo Ann Emerson (MO), Terry Everett (AL), Mike Ferguson (NJ), Mike Fitzpatrick (PA), Mark Foley (FL), Luis Fortuno (PR), Rodney Frelinghuysen (NJ), Louie Gohmhert (TX), Bob Goodlatte (VA), Kay Granger (TX), Sam Graves (MO), Kay Granger (TX), Ralph Hall (TX), Katherine Harris (FL), Kenny Hulshof (MO), Duncan Hunter (CA), Darrell Issa (CA), Bobby Jindal (LA), Nancy Johnson (CT), Jack Kingston (GA), Mark Kirk (IL), Randy Kuhl (NY), Jim Leach (IA), Frank LoBiondo (NJ), Michael McCaul (TX), Patrick McHenry (NC), John Mica (FL), Candice Miller (MI), Sue Myrick (NC), Randy Neugebauer (TX), Charlie Norwood (GA), John Peterson (PA), Tom Petri (WI), Ted Poe (TX), Adam Putnam (FL), Dave Reichert (WA), Rick Renzi (AZ), Ros-Lehtinen (FL), Joe Schwarz (MI), Clay Shaw (FL), Chris Shays (CT), Don Sherwood (PA), Bill Shuster (PA), Chris Smith (NJ), Lamar Smith (TX), John Sullivan (OK), Tom Tancredo (CO), Charlie Taylor (NC), Fred Upton (MI), Greg Walden (OR), Jim Walsh (NY), Curt Weldon (PA), Roger Wicker (MS), Joe Wilson (SC), Jerry Weller (IL), Lynn Westmoreland (GA)

BOEHNER (44)-Gresham Barrett (SC), Charles Boustany (LA), Steve Buyer (IN), Ken Calvert (CA), Chris Cannon (UT), Mike Castle (DE), Steve Chabot (OH), Chris Chocola (IN), Howard Coble (NC), Vern Ehlers (MI), Virginia Foxx (NC), Melissa Hart (PA), Wayne Gilchrest (MD), Paul Gillmor (OH), Doc Hastings (WA), Dave Hobson (OH), Bill Jenkins (TN), Sam Johnson (TX), John Kline (MN), Joe Knollenberg (MI), Ray LaHood (IL), Tom Latham (IA), Steve LaTourette (OH), Donald Manzullo (IL), Kenny Marchant (TX), Thad McCotter (MI), Howard McKeon (CA), Cathy McMorris (WA), Gary Miller (CA), Bob Ney (OH), Anne Northup (KY), Devin Nunes (CA), Mike Oxley (OH), Steve Pearce (NM), Todd Platts (PA), John Porter (NV), Jim Ramstad (MN), Jim Saxton (NJ), Pete Sessions (TX), Mike Simpson (ID), Lee Terry (NE) Pat Tiberi (OH), Mike Turner (OH), Ed Whitfield (KY)

SHADEGG (4)- Tom Feeney (FL), Trent Franks (AZ), Jeb Hensarling (TX), Paul Ryan (WI)

Monday, January 16, 2006

Weekend Recap

It was a slow news weekend in the race for majority leader; very few announcements from either side and little to no change in the public vote tallies (though it seems Blunt might have some defectors to Shadegg).

All three candidates appeared on Fox News Sunday, nothing too noteworthy was said and they appeared separately rather than together. A portion of the show (mostly showing Boehner) can be found here.

The Chicago Tribune endorsed Boehner here.

Stephen Moore, formerly of the Club for Growth and currently of the WSJ had a piece today that was largely negative of Blunt, somewhat positive on Boehner, and pro-Shadegg.

Robert Novak had a similar take as well today.

Friday, January 13, 2006

Boehner v. Blunt v. Shadegg

After the excitment of this morning's Shadegg announcement, the releases have come slowly. Boehner's camp added 3 today and Shadegg continues to add names to his public list. It appears that the balance of the day was spent trying to shore up vote counts and to cement support before the long weekend.

Also, there is speculation on Capitol Hill that the Texas delegation may not be supporting Blunt. After the first meeting, it was reported that they were clost to supporting Boehner, not Blunt.

Breaking news... Speaker Hastert has asked Bob Ney to resign his chairmanship of the House Adminstration Committee.... More later.

Here are the lists (they will be updated throughout the weekend):

BLUNT (81)- Todd Akin (MO), Rodney Alexander (LA), Richard Baker (LA), Joe Barton (TX), Marsha Blackburn(TN), Henry Bonilla (TX), Jo Bonner (AL), John Boozman (AR), Jeb Bradley (NH), Kevin Brady (TX), Ginny Brown-Waite (FL), Michael Burgess (TX), Dan Burton (IN), Dave Camp (MI), Shelley Moore Capito (WV), John Carter (TX), Tom Cole (OK), Mike Conaway (TX), Ander Crenshaw (FL), John Culberson (TX), Geoff Davis (KY), Jo Ann Davis (VA), Tom Davis (VA), Nathan Deal (GA), Charlie Dent (PA), Lincoln Diaz-Balart (FL), Mario Diaz-Balart (FL), John Doolittle (CA), John Duncan (TN), Jo Ann Emerson (MO), Terry Everett (AL), Mike Ferguson (NJ), Mike Fitzpatrick (PA), Mark Foley (FL), Rodney Frelinghuysen (NJ), Bob Goodlatte (VA), Louie Gomhert (TX), Sam Graves (MO), Kay Granger (TX), Ralph Hall (TX), Katherine Harris (FL), Duncan Hunter (CA), Kenny Hulshof (MO), Darrell Issa (CA), Bobby Jindal (LA), Nancy Johnson (CT), Jack Kingston (GA), Mark Kirk (IL), Randy Kuhl (NY), Jim Leach (IA), Frank LoBiondo (NJ), Michael McCaul (TX), John Mica (FL), Candice Miller (MI), Sue Myrick (NC), Charlie Norwood (GA), Randy Neugebauer, John Peterson (PA), Tom Petri (WI), Ted Poe (TX), Adam Putnam (FL), Dave Reichert (WA), Rick Renzi (AZ), Dana Rohrabacher (CA), Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL), Joe Schwarz (MI), Clay Shaw (FL), Chris Shays (CT), Don Sherwood (PA), Chris Smith (NJ), Lamar Smith (TX), John Sullivan (OK), Tom Tancredo (CO), Charlie Taylor (NC), Greg Walden (OR), Jim Walsh (NY), Lynn Westmoreland (GA), Joe Wilson (SC), Jerry Weller, Curt Weldon (PA), Roger Wicker (MS)

BOEHNER (41)-Gresham Barrett (SC), Charles Boustany (LA), Steve Buyer (IN), Ken Calvert (CA), Chris Cannon (UT), Mike Castle (DE), Steve Chabot (OH), Chris Chocola (IN), Howard Coble (NC), Vern Ehlers (MI), Virginia Foxx (NC), Melissa Hart (PA), Wayne Gilchrest (MD), Paul Gillmor (OH), Dave Hobson (OH), Bill Jenkins (TN), Sam Johnson (TX), John Kline (MN), Ray LaHood (IL), Tom Latham (IA), Steve LaTourette (OH), Donald Manzullo (IL), Kenny Marchant (TX), Thad McCotter (MI), Howard McKeon (CA), Gary Miller (CA), Bob Ney (OH), Anne Northup (KY), Devin Nunes (CA), Mike Oxley (OH), Steve Pearce (NM), Todd Platts (PA), John Porter (NV), Jim Ramstad (MN), Jim Saxton (NJ), Pete Sessions (TX), Mike Simpson (ID), Lee Terry (NE) Pat Tiberi (OH), Mike Turner (OH), Ed Whitfield (KY)

SHADEGG (2)-Trent Franks (AZ), Jeb Hensarling (TX)

Shadegg's In

It really is difficult to determine what sort of an impact this will make on the race. It will likely drive all three candidate to a reformist platform. Boehner has already been making a move in this direction (particularly with earmark reform). Blunt will likely attempt to make similar strides in the next few days.

Boehner had particularly kind words for Shadegg upon his announcement while the Blunt camp maintained their aura of confidence. Below is a segment from Boehner's statement:
John is an important member of our Conference and a respected voice for reform. His entry into the Majority Leader race is further proof the Conference isn't happy with the status quo. Our Conference will only benefit from a truly open and competitive contest based on ideas, principles, and abilities, and I welcome him into the race. Between the two of us, we're going to make this race about reforming how the House does business and providing a real alternative to the status quo.
Hopefully today will give as idea of the direction of the race, if people will stick with their commencements or not, or if all three will stick out the race. Should be interesting. Shadegg has already announced that he is resigning his currently leadership position out of principle and as a bit of a jab at Blunt. Many feel that Blunt not resigning as Majority Whip is unfair as those jockeying for position behind him feel pressured to support him rather than follow their conscience.

In another development, as one can see below Blunt received quite a bit of support from Texas yesterday with a handful still unannounced.

Boehner/Blunt Voter Tally-Thursday Morning

This is the most updated list of public support for Boehner and Blunt. CAUTION: With the entry of Shadegg into the race this list could change quite a bit, the complexion of this race could change comepletely or not at all...

BLUNT (70)- Todd Akin (MO), Rodney Alexander (LA), Richard Baker (LA), Joe Barton (TX), Marsha Blackburn (TN), Henry Bonilla (TX), Jo Bonner (AL), John Boozman (AR), Jeb Bradley (NH), Kevin Brady (TX), Ginny Brown-Waite (FL), Michael Burgess (TX), Dan Burton (IN), Dave Camp (MI), Shelly Moore Capito (WV), John Carter (TX), Tom Cole (OK), Mike Conaway (TX),Ander Crenshaw (FL), John Culberson (TX), Jo Ann Davis (VA), Tom Davis (VA), Nathan Deal (GA), Charlie Dent (PA), Lincoln Diaz-Balart (FL), Mario Diaz-Balart (FL), John Doolittle (CA), John Duncan (TN), Jo Ann Emerson (MO), Mike Ferguson (NJ), Mark Foley (FL), Rodney Frelinghuysen (NJ), Mark Fitzpatrick (PA), Louie Gohmert (TX), Bob Goodlatte (VA), Kay Granger (TX), Sam Graves (MO), Katherine Harris (FL), Duncan Hunter (CA), Kenny Hulshof (MO), Darrel Issa (CA), Bobby Jindal (LA), Nancy Johnson (CT), Jack Kingston (GA), Mark Kirk (IL), Jim Leach (IA), Michael McCaul (TX), Candice Miller (MI), Sue Myrick (NC), Randy Neugebauer (TX), Charlie Norwood (GA), Tom Petri (WI), Joe Pitts (PA), Adam Putnam (FL), Dave Reichert (WA), Rick Renzi (AZ), Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL), Dana Rohrabacher (CA), Clay Shaw (FL), Chris Shays (CT), Lamar Smith (TX), John Sullivan (OK), Charles Taylor (NC), Tom Tancredo (CO), Greg Walden (OR), Jim Walsh (NY), Curt Weldon (PA), Lynn Westmoreland (GA), Roger Wicker (MS), Joe Wilson (SC)

BOEHNER (37)-Gresham Barrett (SC), Charles Boustany (LA), Steve Buyer (IN), Ken Calvert (CA), Chris Cannon (UT), Mike Castle (DE), Steve Chabot (OH), Howard Coble (NC), Vern Ehlers (MI), Melissa Hart (PA), Wayne Gilchrest (MD), Paul Gillmor (OH), Dave Hobson (OH), Bill Jenkins (TN), Sam Johnson (TX), John Kline (MN), Ray LaHood (IL), Tom Latham (IA), Steve LaTourette (OH), Kenny Marchant (TX), Thad McCotter (MI), Howard McKeon (CA), Gary Miller (CA), Bob Ney (OH), Anne Northup (KY), Devin Nunes (CA), Mike Oxley (OH), Steve Pearce (NM), John Porter (NV), Jim Ramstad (MN), Jim Saxton (NJ), Pete Sessions (TX), Mike Simpson (ID), Lee Terry (NE) Pat Tiberi (OH), Mike Turner (OH), Ed Whitfield (KY)

Thursday, January 12, 2006

New Boehner/Blunt Update...

Blunt is now claiming 100+ (likely low 100s) public/private commitments. This is a significant jump. The Boehner camp responded quickly claiming 86.

These numbers added together and assuming no one a)switches votes or b) is privately endorsing both (which is a bad assumption) this leaves a small handful of undecideds. Undecideds are likely a bad thing for Blunt as he should have already shored up his support meaning they are looking for an alternative. That alternative could be Shadegg (AZ) who Flake (AZ) has been actively touting. However-and this could be good for Boehner-Flake and others have indicated if Shadegg doesn't enter then Boehner is likely their man. The Shadegg camp at this point with so few undecideds must decide soon if it will enter the race or perhaps work on a big endorsement before he has lost his position. While Blunt does have a lead and apparently a large number of commitments, this is STARK contrast to the past few days when his camp has maintained they were about to wrap up the process and secure enough votes. Currently he only has about 60 members who are willing to publicly back him which is low for the apparent front-runner. The next big movement will likely be some sort of announcement from Shadegg and/or Flake. If those two decided to sway their support behind one candidate, it's a safe assumption that they would push them over the top of the 116 votes needed.

These numbers added together and assuming no one a)switches votes or b) is privately endorsing both (which is a bad assumption) this leaves a small handful of undecideds. Undecideds are likely a bad thing for Blunt as he should have already shored up his support meaning they are looking for an alternative. That alternative could be Shadegg (AZ) who Flake (AZ) has been actively touting. However-and this could be good for Boehner-Flake and others have indicated if Shadegg doesn't enter then Boehner is likely their man. The Shadegg camp at this point with so few undecideds must decide soon if it will enter the race or perhaps work on a big endorsement before he has lost his position.

While Blunt does have a lead and apparently a large number of commitments, this is STARK contrast to the past few days when his camp has maintained they were about to wrap up the process and secure enough votes. Currently he only has about 60 members who are willing to publicly back him which is low for the apparent front-runner. The next big movement will likely be some sort of announcement from Shadegg and/or Flake. If those two decided to sway their support behind one candidate, it's a safe assumption that they would push them over the top of the 116 votes needed.

Tallies UPDATED

This is the most current list of public pledges in either direction. Blunt has built his lead but has still not reached the status that his allies claimed he had already maintained. Even more speculation this morning that Shadegg will enter the race. His timeframe for entering the race is getting smaller and his window of opportunity may close soon if he doesn't act.

Bob Ney (OH) is now off Boehner's list.

BLUNT (62)- Todd Akin (MO), Rodney Alexander (LA), Richard Baker (LA), Marsha Blackburn (TN), Henry Bonilla (TX), Jo Bonner (AL), John Boozman (AR), Jeb Bradley (NH), Kevin Brady (TX), Ginny Brown-Waite (FL), Dan Burton (IN), Dave Camp (MI), Shelly Moore Capito (WV), Tom Cole (OK), Ander Crenshaw (FL), Jo Ann Davis (VA), Tom Davis (VA), Nathan Deal (GA), Charlie Dent (PA), Lincoln Diaz-Balart (FL), Mario Diaz-Balart (FL), John Doolittle (CA), John Duncan (TN), Jo Ann Emerson (MO), Mike Ferguson (NJ), Mark Foley (FL), Rodney Frelinghuysen (NJ), Mark Fitzpatrick (PA), Bob Goodlatte (VA), Kay Granger (TX), Sam Graves (MO), Katherine Harris (FL), Duncan Hunter (CA), Kenny Hulshof (MO), Darrel Issa (CA), Bobby Jindal (LA), Nancy Johnson (CT), Jack Kingston (GA), Mark Kirk (IL), Jim Leach (IA), Candice Miller (MI), Sue Myrick (NC), Charlie Norwood (GA), Tom Petri (WI), Joe Pitts (PA), Adam Putnam (FL), Dave Reichert (WA), Rick Renzi (AZ), Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL), Dana Rohrabacher (CA), Clay Shaw (FL), Chris Shays (CT), Lamar Smith (TX), John Sullivan (OK), Charles Taylor (NC), Tom Tancredo (CO), Greg Walden (OR), Jim Walsh (NY), Curt Weldon (PA), Lynn Westmoreland (GA), Roger Wicker (MS), Joe Wilson (SC)

BOEHNER (35)-Gresham Barrett (SC), Charles Boustany (LA), Steve Buyer (IN), Ken Calvert (CA), Mike Castle (DE), Steve Chabot (OH), Howard Coble (NC), Vern Ehlers (MI), Melissa Hart (PA), Wayne Gilchrest (MD), Paul Gillmor (OH), Dave Hobson (OH), Bill Jenkins (TN), Sam Johnson (TX), John Kline (MN), Ray LaHood (IL), Tom Latham (IA), Steve LaTourette (OH), Kenny Marchant (TX), Thad McCotter (MI), Howard McKeon (CA), Gary Miller (CA), Anne Northup (KY), Devin Nunes (CA), Mike Oxley (OH), Steve Pearce (NM), John Porter (NV), Jim Ramstad (MN), Jim Saxton (NJ), Pete Sessions (TX), Mike Simpson (ID), Lee Terry (NE) Pat Tiberi (OH), Mike Turner (OH), Ed Whitfield (KY)

Wednesday, January 11, 2006

Blunt gains...

This is the most current list of public pledges in either direction. Blunt has built his lead but has still not reached the status that his allies claimed he had already maintained. Speculation heading into the evening has Shadegg seriously examining a run but it is unknown if he merely wants to shape the direction of debate or take the leader role.

BLUNT (62)- Todd Akin (MO), Rodney Alexander (LA), Richard Baker (LA), Marsha Blackburn (TN), Henry Bonilla (TX), Jo Bonner (AL), John Boozman (AR), Jeb Bradley (NH), Kevin Brady (TX), Ginny Brown-Waite (FL), Dan Burton (IN), Dave Camp (MI), Shelly Moore Capito (WV), Tom Cole (OK), Ander Crenshaw (FL), Jo Ann Davis (VA), Tom Davis (VA), Nathan Deal (GA), Charlie Dent (PA), Lincoln Diaz-Balart (FL), Mario Diaz-Balart (FL), John Doolittle (CA), John Duncan (TN), Jo Ann Emerson (MO), Mike Ferguson (NJ), Mark Foley (FL), Rodney Frelinghuysen (NJ), Mark Fitzpatrick (PA), Bob Goodlatte (VA), Kay Granger (TX), Sam Graves (MO), Katherine Harris (FL), Duncan Hunter (CA), Kenny Hulshof (MO), Darrel Issa (CA), Bobby Jindal (LA), Nancy Johnson (CT), Jack Kingston (GA), Mark Kirk (IL), Jim Leach (IA), Candice Miller (MI), Sue Myrick (NC), Charlie Norwood (GA), Tom Petri (WI), Joe Pitts (PA), Adam Putnam (FL), Dave Reichert (WA), Rick Renzi (AZ), Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL), Dana Rohrabacher (CA), Clay Shaw (FL), Chris Shays (CT), Lamar Smith (TX), John Sullivan (OK), Charles Taylor (NC), Tom Tancredo (CO), Greg Walden (OR), Jim Walsh (NY), Curt Weldon (PA), Lynn Westmoreland (GA), Roger Wicker (MS), Joe Wilson (SC)

BOEHNER (36)-Gresham Barrett (SC), Charles Boustany (LA), Steve Buyer (IN), Ken Calvert (CA), Mike Castle (DE), Steve Chabot (OH), Howard Coble (NC), Vern Ehlers (MI), Melissa Hart (PA), Wayne Gilchrest (MD), Paul Gillmor (OH), Dave Hobson (OH), Bill Jenkins (TN), Sam Johnson (TX), John Kline (MN), Ray LaHood (IL), Tom Latham (IA), Steve LaTourette (OH), Kenny Marchant (TX), Thad McCotter (MI), Howard McKeon (CA), Gary Miller (CA), Bob Ney (OH), Anne Northup (KY), Devin Nunes (CA), Mike Oxley (OH), Steve Pearce (NM), John Porter (NV), Jim Ramstad (MN), Jim Saxton (NJ), Pete Sessions (TX), Mike Simpson (ID), Lee Terry (NE) Pat Tiberi (OH), Mike Turner (OH), Ed Whitfield (KY)

Boehner/Blunt/? Wednesday Update

THIRD CANDIDATE IMMINENT?

Early today, sources mentioned that the election would be moved forward to either January 26 or January 27. The Conference Chairwoman (Debbie Pryce) even circulated an email to Members to see if they would be able to be in town to vote for a new Majority Leader. This was a veiled attempt by Blunt supporters to cut down the campaign time. By doing so, they would be able to shore up more support by playing the inevitable card. It was also reported that it was fine by Boehner to move them forward for the betterment of the Conference while it was hurting him politically. Calls for full leadership elections were growing (likely sparing Hastert) but it is unclear whether this would be likely.

By 3 pm today, Pryce emailed Members and told them that the election would be held on February 2 at 1 pm.

Today, the Texas Delegation met in Dallas/Fort Worth Airport (most teleconferenced). The was trying to reach a consensus on who their 21 GOP Members of Congress would support but no such candidate surfaced. It was a slow day with Members going public with their pledges and no significant announcements have been made.

More and more, sources on Capitol Hill mention that the Members are starting to warm up to the idea that a third candidate may enter. It's clearly become a two horse race with support split into three camps: Boehner, Blunt and the undecideds. The undecideds may number more than 50, allowing a third candidate to enter the race and, possibly, survive a first ballot. That third candidate, who was making calls to gauge support, is John Shadegg. He would be able to outflank both candidates on the right. With little progress by Blunt, Boehner or a third candidate are beginning to look more likely.

Tuesday, January 10, 2006

Boehner/Blunt Update-Tuesday Evening

After another busy day of dials, it appears the Blunt expanded his lead. However, it is not the clean sweep that was promised and hinted at with his strategic links over the last two days.

Tomorrow could hinge on a meeting the Texas delegation is hosting. Although Tom DeLay has made it clear he is not endorsing a candidate, sources say he has made one thing clear: He thinks Roy Blunt is wrong for the Conference. This could swing the tide of the Texas delegation behind Boehner, who already has Pete Sessions and Sam Johnson, two of the veteran Members of Congress. Boehner added more support from California which could prove key.

This is shaping up to be a long battle, one that will not end anytime soon. With the constant leaks from Blunt's camp (which could be misinformation) and the tight lipped Boehner camp, no one can be sure. The longer this race goes on, the more it favors Boehner, the 'underdog'. Various insiders on Fox News among other media outlets have reported that Blunt's previously 'formidable lead' might have been an effort to create momentum to pressure other members for their support. According to these reports, his support at the moment is not as advertised.

A third candidate entering the ring is becoming less and less likely as the days go on.

BLUNT (46)- Todd Akin (MO), Rodney Alexander (LA), Richard Baker (LA), Marsha Blackburn (TN), Henry Bonilla (TX), Jo Bonner (AL), John Boozman (AR), Ginny Brown-Waite (FL), Dave Camp (MI), Shelly Moore Capito (WV), Tom Cole (OK), Ander Crenshaw (FL), Charlie Dent (PA), Lincoln Diaz-Balart (FL), Mario Diaz-Balart (FL), Jo Ann Emerson (MO), Mike Ferguson (NJ), Mark Foley (FL), Rodney Frelinghuysen (NJ), Mark Fitzpatrick (PA), Bob Goodlatte (VA), Sam Graves (MO), Katherine Harris (FL), Duncan Hunter (CA), Kenny Hulshof (MO), Darrel Issa (CA), Bobby Jindal (LA), Nancy Johnson (CT), Jack Kingston (GA), Mark Kirk (IL), Jim Leach (IA), Candice Miller (MI), Sue Myrick (NC), Charlie Norwood (GA), Tom Petri (WI), Joe Pitts (PA), Adam Putnam (FL), Dave Reichert (WA), Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL), Clay Shaw (FL), Chris Shays (CT), Lamar Smith (TX), Greg Walden (OR), Jim Walsh (NY), Lynn Westmoreland (GA), Joe Wilson (SC)

BOEHNER (32)-Gresham Barrett (SC), Charles Boustany (LA), Steve Buyer (IN), Ken Calvert (CA), Mike Castle (DE), Steve Chabot (OH), Vern Ehlers (MI), Melissa Hart (PA), Paul Gillmor (OH), Dave Hobson (OH), Sam Johnson (TX), John Kline (MN), Ray LaHood (IL), Tom Latham (IA), Steve LaTourette (OH), Thad McCotter (MI), Howard McKeon (CA), Gary Miller (CA), Bob Ney (OH), Anne Northup (KY), Devin Nunes (CA), Mike Oxley (OH), Steve Pearce (NM), John Porter (NV), Jim Ramstad (MN), Jim Saxton (NJ), Pete Sessions (TX), Mike Simpson (ID), Lee Terry (NE) Pat Tiberi (OH), Mike Turner (OH), Ed Whitfield (KY)

Boehner/Blunt Update

Boehner has narrowed the lead a bit. Nearly all of Ohio (sans Gillmor, Pryce, Regula, and Schmidt) has gone for Boehner. We had Gillmor for Boehner but as of now that seems to be in dispute. We see Regula and Schmidt going for Boehner, Schmidt is in Iraq. Pryce will likely remain silent. Another trend we see is Florida moving for Blunt. Boehner is holding out hope for the Texas delegation and received good news from both Texans and conservatives with the addition of Sam Johnson.

BLUNT (31)-Rodney Alexander (LA), Richard Baker (LA), Marsha Blackburn (TN), Henry Bonilla (TX), John Boozman (AR), Dave Camp (MI), Tom Cole (OK), Ander Crenshaw (FL), Charlie Dent (PA), Lincoln Diaz-Balart (FL), Mario Diaz-Balart (FL), Jo Ann Emerson (MO), Mike Ferguson (NJ), Mark Foley (FL), Rodney Frelinghuysen (NJ), Bob Goodlatte (VA), Sam Graves (MO), Kenny Hulshof (MO), Darrel Issa (CA), Bobby Jindal (LA), Nancy Johnson (CT), Jack Kingston (GA), Sue Myrick (NC), Charlie Norwood (GA), Joe Pitts (PA), Adam Putnam (FL), Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL), Chris Shays (CT), Clay Shaw (FL), Lynn Westmoreland (GA), Joe Wilson (SC)

BOEHNER (25)-Gresham Barrett (SC), Charles Boustany (LA), Steve Buyer (IN), Mike Castle (DE), Steve Chabot (OH), Melissa Hart (PA), Dave Hobson (OH), Sam Johnson (TX), John Kline (MN), Ray LaHood (IL), Tom Latham (IA), Steve LaTourette (OH), Thad McCotter (MI), Bob Ney (OH), Anne Northup (KY), Devin Nunes (CA), Mike Oxley (OH), Steve Pearce (NM), Jim Ramstad (MN), Jim Saxton (NJ), Pete Sessions (TX), Mike Simpson (ID), Pat Tiberi (OH), Mike Turner (OH), Ed Whitfield (KY)

Monday, January 09, 2006

Update...

Updated with the best up to date info...big gets today: Some of the Florida group and Tom Cole for Blunt...Mike Castle and Pete Sessions for Boehner. This could come down to the Pence/Shadegg conservatives.

BLUNT (29)-Rodney Alexander (LA), Richard Baker (LA), Marsha Blackburn (TN), Henry Bonilla (TX), John Boozman (AR), Dave Camp (MI), Tom Cole (OK), Ander Crenshaw (FL), Charlie Dent (PA), Lincoln Diaz-Balart (FL), Mario Diaz-Balart (FL), Jo Ann Emerson (MO), Mike Ferguson (NJ), Mark Foley (FL), Rodney Frelinghuysen (NJ), Bob Goodlatte (VA), Sam Graves (MO), Kenny Hulshof (MO), Darrel Issa (CA), Nancy Johnson (CT), Jack Kingston (GA), Sue Myrick (NC), Charlie Norwood (GA), Joe Pitts (PA), Adam Putnam (FL), Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL), Chris Shays (CT), Lynn Westmoreland (GA), Joe Wilson (SC)

BOEHNER (21)-Gresham Barrett (SC), Charles Boustany (LA), Steve Buyer (IN), Mike Castle (DE), Steve Chabot (OH) Paul Gilmore (OH), Melissa Hart (PA), Dave Hobson (OH), John Kline (MN) Tom Latham (IA), Thad McCotter (MI), Bob Ney (OH), Anne Northup (KY), Devin Nunes (CA), Steve Pearce (NM), Jim Saxton (NJ), Pete Sessions (TX), Mike Simpson (ID), Pat Tiberi (OH), Mike Turner (OH), Ed Whitfield (KY)

Vote Tallies

This is the best compilation of the current vote tallies for Boehner and Blunt in the race for House Majority Leader. Thus far, Blunt is in the lead with 20 while Boehner trails with 15 . We will try to keep this as up to date as possible, let us know if you have any new confirms.

BLUNT (20)-Rep. Richard Baker (R-LA)Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN)Rep. Dave Camp (R-MI) Rep. Tom Cole (R-OK) Rep. Ander Crenshaw (R-FL) Rep. Bob Goodlatte (R-VA) Rep. Mike Ferguson (R-NJ) Rep. Mark Foley (R-FL) Rep. Rodney Frelinghuysen (R-NJ) Rep. Darrel Issa (R-CA) Rep. Nancy Johnson (R-CT) Rep. Jack Kingston (R-GA) Rep. Mark Kirk (R-IL) Rep. Sue Myrick (R-NC) Rep. Charlie Norwood (R-GA) Rep. Joe Pitts (R-PA) Rep. Adam Putnam (R-FL) Rep. Chris Shays (R-CT) Rep. Lynn Westmoreland (R-GA) Rep. Joe Wilson (R-SC)

BOEHNER (15)-Rep. Charles Boustany (R-LA) Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-SC) Rep. Steve Chabot (R-OH) Rep. Melissa Hart (R-PA) Rep. Dave Hobson (R-OH) Rep. John Kline (R-MN Rep. Thad McCotter (R-MI) Rep. Tom Latham (R-IA) Rep. Anne Northup (R-KY) Rep. Devin Nunes (R-CA) Rep. Jim Saxton (R-NJ) Rep. Pete Sessions (R-TX) Rep. Mike Simpson (R-ID)Rep. Pat Tiberi (R-OH) Rep. Ed Whitfield (R-KY)

The case for Boehner...

As told by Boehner himself. It is a bit lengthy but a good read (IMO). Thanks to NRO for the link.

More crazies at the Kos...

As has been reported a NYTimes editor/reporter was tragically killed during a robbery in DC yesterday. Posters at the DailyKos and elsewhere have decided that the Bush administration might be involved.

My personal favorite: "This was a f*cking Hit Job by the Bush Junta vis a vis Porter Goss"

NOTE: This is not to say there aren't crazies like this on the both sides but this is the same group that Sen Harry Reid has decided to speak to later this year.

Boehner For Majority Leader

The position of this blog will of course be in full support of Boehner's candidacy for Majority Leader. I would say that right now the race is close but you have to give Blunt the slight edge. I think (as many sources have stated) we will know the likely outcome of this race in the next day or so although elections are slated for February 2nd. Both sides have had "whip" teams in place and are essentially treating this election as if it were a legislative battle..."whipping" their votes together.

Some of the best sources to follow the race in my book are:
The Hotline
The Corner
Redstate

and...of course
Wyatt's Torch

We will try to keep you updated as much as possible.

Saturday, January 07, 2006

Majority leader?

Drudge is saying that their is a petition for an election of a new Majority Leader. It has Blunt, Boehner, and Pence as the leading candidates. Purn, is there anything that can be done? I know no one reads e-mails, but if the CR's just all e-mailed some key swing votes, I don't kow enough about it I was just wondering if there was anything that we could help with.

Thursday, January 05, 2006

Makes me sick...

At some point over the break I checked out the DailyKos, which I do occasionally for entertainment purposes only. There was a story earlier this week about Bush's approval dropping within the military, kos posted about it. Many of the comments below were nothing less disgusting. Democrats should really be careful about fully associating themselves with the kossacks. Here is a sampling:

Why does our military hate America?

Who the fuck do they think they are!!
Why I say we cut
their health-care, let them their families deal with PTSD.

the military aren't allowed to have opinions